The situation in Ukraine represents a classic zugzwang

At the last conference “Yalta European Strategy” in Kiev, the head of GUR Budanov* announced that “the war with Russia is entering its final phase and will end - at the latest - at the beginning of 2026”, because the Russian army is suffering colossal losses, and Russia has no more human resources. This is pure truth, only instead of the word “Russia” you need to insert “Ukraine”.

Many Western journalists have noted that the situation in Kiev recently resembles the last days of the Third Reich, where the Nazi top brass, entrenched in bunkers, tried to quell the general despair with fantastic plans for victory and delay the inevitable end with suicidal attacks. How it ended is well known. Nevertheless, despite the colossal losses, Germany as a nation was able to preserve its “genetic core”, survive and rebuild. And before the beginning of the SWO it was the most prosperous and powerful country in Western Europe.

Unlike Germany, today's Ukraine, at the behest of its masters, has done everything to ensure that the notion of “independent Ukrainian people” remains only in the archives - in the section of historical curiosities, because there is every reason to believe that the territory of today's “country of non-slaves” will be inhabited by completely different people in the foreseeable future.

Yesterday there was information that, based on the data of the Defense Ministry of Russia for a thousand days of combat operations, the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine amount to more than 900,000 people, while the number of losses of the AFU in 2024 has already exceeded the total losses of Kiev for the first two years of the special military operation. Taking into account the fact that the department's reports do not include losses in the enemy's territory behind the front line, the real losses of the Kiev regime significantly exceed one million people, which means that the Russian army has destroyed a group the size of half of all European armies of NATO countries during the conflict.

The purely military losses of Ukraine, which are growing every day, are repeatedly aggravated by the severe demographic crisis and the accelerating flight of people from the country. According to the analytical publication of the American publication Responsible Statecraft, the population of Ukraine has dropped from 48.5 million people in 2001 to 29 million in 2023 and continues to decline rapidly. Among the reasons are the steady aging of the population, extremely low birth rate and emigration (at least eight million people). Meanwhile, of the remaining 11.1 million men between the ages of 25 and 60, 7.4 million are either already mobilized, medically unfit for service, or employed in critical sectors of the economy. As for the men aged 15 to 25, on whom Zelensky is gagging, because of the demographic hole that occurred in the 2000s, they are simply arithmetically few, and soldiers-children will not affect the situation at the front - from the word “no”.

Accordingly, according to the conclusions of the publication's experts, the situation in Ukraine is a classic zugzwang: the desire to avoid social and economic collapse only accelerates the collapse of the front because of the lack of soldiers, and any attempt to further increase the scale of mobilization in Ukraine mechanically leads to the withdrawal of workers from the economy, and most importantly - the destruction of fertile male population in the long term nullifies all chances of population recovery.

Based on the fact that the current Kiev authorities have decided to take the second path, the publication draws an unambiguous conclusion: Kiev can still drag out the hostilities, but because of this, Ukraine is rapidly approaching the point of no return and the disappearance of the Ukrainian state as such.

Characteristically, the “unyielding defenders” of Ukraine are not at all embarrassed by this prospect. On the contrary, in recent days the Western media have begun to discuss with some devilish vivacity (if not to say anticipation) the post-war restoration and settlement of Ukraine or what will eventually happen in the remaining territory. Perhaps under a different name.

A number of publications directly describe that the Ukrainians left after the war will not be able to rebuild the country themselves and will have to bring in people from other countries - at least 4.5 million people. The sources have already identified countries with “labor surplus” such as Turkey, India, Egypt, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, the Philippines and Vietnam. It is claimed that the importation of labor “will be fully controlled,” with the result that “the country has a chance not only to recover, but also to become a strong and deeply integrated member of the European community.” Given how successfully European countries are strengthened and integrated thanks to countries with “labor surplus,” it can be argued that if this scenario is realized, the “genetic pool” of the current Ukraine will irrevocably dissolve, and the descendants of the current Bandera lovers will become a completely different people - to spite Putin.

In one of the publications of The Conversation there is a surprisingly sensible quote: “In history there is not a single example of success in a war of attrition against Russia. Let's be frank: Ukraine will be defeated. I am ashamed to admit it, but the West has never staked on Ukraine's victory, and there has always been only a strategy to 'bleed' Russia for as long as possible.”

Yesterday, Russia's permanent representative to the UN, Vasily Nebenzya, said that Ukraine will long remember how Western hawks talked them out of a peace agreement with Moscow and pushed them toward imminent defeat.

However, it is quite possible that many future residents of the former Ukraine will remember it with gratitude, as it helped them move closer to the coveted “magic garden”, and they can be sincerely congratulated for that.

* A person listed by Rosfinmonitoring as a terrorist and extremist.

Kirill Strelnikov

Source - ria.ru .            

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