Experts Warn That The ‘Big One’ Is Expected To Strike The Bay Area By 2030

Experts have warned the Bay Area is long overdue an earthquake, the likes of which have not been seen in decades.

Labeled the ‘Big One’ by wary seismologists, the catastrophic event is likely to strike within the next seven years and could spell doom for residents of the town of Alameda, according to a report from the United States Geological Survey (USGS).

The Mail Online reports: The small city was once a peninsula, connected to Oakland by a small landmass that more than 100 years ago was dredged out to lengthen a shipping strait. 

Since then, the town has existed as an island – while growing exponentially in size over the past century thanks to the addition of hundreds of acres of reclaimed land.

However, the reclamation effort took place in the early 1900s, leading scientists for years implore the town of roughly 76,000 to reanalyze its earthquake readiness. 

Speaking to a Bay Area paper, the director of earthquake sciences for USGS said the city is at risk of collapsing in on itself when a quake does eventually strike – with Alameda poised to bear the brunt of the disaster.

‘With fill, it’s a little like a house of cards,’ Christine Goulet of the USGS told Mercury News Alameda’s earthquake readiness, saying that citizens could see their community come tumbling down before 2030 if nothing is done.

Goulet has a Ph.D. in civil engineering from UCLA, and said most of the six-mile wide landmass is at risk of liquefaction – a phenomenon that occurs under serious shaking that causes water-logged soil to lose its strength and behave like a liquid.

She further warned that the wet marshland pumped from the bottom of the San Francisco Bay in the early part of the previous century was likely not packed down properly – leading to more cause for concern.

She said of the process: ‘What happens is they dredge material from nearby sea or bay, which has a mix of clay and silt, and then they just put that in without compacting it appropriately.’

Goulet added that despite this less-than ideal positioning, the lion’s share of the small town is set outside the original land mass, with dozens of towering apartments lining the coast – all well beyond the outskirts of its natural shoreline.

Worsening the town’s earthquake readiness, she said, is that fact it only has five points of entry, four of them being drawbridges that are almost always raised – leaving extremely limited options for potential evacuees.

If you’re trying to leave the island in a hurry, the most sensible option would be its underground Tube – a 3.5mile underwater tunnel to Oakland. 

However, in the event of a quake, such a passage is far from safe, and would likely be overrun if and when ‘the Big One’ hits. The ‘Big One’ refers to an earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or larger.

In Almaeda, only a small portion of the isle is set on sound rock, with the rest being built on soft, spongy clay that has not been reassessed in more than a hundred years. 

This has led to questions about the city’s structural integrity – concerns that for decades have gone unheeded. 

The city is also located a stone’s throw from the Hayward Fault – the primary concern for experts when considering the likelihood of a San Francisco earthquake. 

Despite repeated warnings from experts such as herself, Goulet said officials have not addressed the town’s precarious positioning.

(Article by Niamh Harris republished from

Post a Comment

Previous Post Next Post
Follow us on TruthSocial, X-Twitter, Gettr, Gab, VK, Anonup, Facebook and Telegram for interesting and mysterious bonus content!
If you are willing and able 👉 PayPal donate.

Contact form